Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.074586 0.088553 0.104221 0.123073 0.145112 0.170035 0.200329
2025-03-09 0.052745 0.070546 0.092805 0.122564 0.161178 0.209443 0.274194
2025-03-16 0.039650 0.058301 0.083708 0.120591 0.172463 0.242456 0.343638
2025-03-23 0.032565 0.051804 0.079934 0.123619 0.189205 0.283326 0.427751
2025-03-30 0.026539 0.045278 0.074448 0.122515 0.198913 0.314555 0.501352
2025-04-06 0.021669 0.039418 0.068668 0.119525 0.204612 0.339690 0.568077
2025-04-13 0.017729 0.034242 0.062939 0.115376 0.207344 0.359849 0.628639
2025-04-20 0.015571 0.031747 0.061234 0.117565 0.220594 0.398162 0.722800
2025-04-27 0.013621 0.029242 0.059038 0.118402 0.231351 0.433169 0.814960
2025-05-04 0.011963 0.026981 0.056890 0.118900 0.241352 0.467692 0.909762
2025-05-11 0.010697 0.025280 0.055529 0.120632 0.253747 0.507684 1.018578
2025-05-18 0.009868 0.024360 0.055581 0.125148 0.272033 0.560492 1.156823
2025-05-25 0.008413 0.021786 0.051819 0.121317 0.273262 0.581170 1.236630
2025-06-01 0.007461 0.020217 0.050005 0.121424 0.282741 0.619331 1.355588
2025-06-08 0.006517 0.018475 0.047506 0.119599 0.287753 0.648824 1.459942
2025-06-15 0.005990 0.017698 0.047143 0.122632 0.303892 0.703293 1.622222
2025-06-22 0.005306 0.016359 0.045186 0.121542 0.310398 0.737618 1.744681
2025-06-29 0.004624 0.014883 0.042633 0.118577 0.312043 0.761271 1.845972
2025-07-06 0.003988 0.013399 0.039805 0.114459 0.310301 0.776952 1.930771
2025-07-13 0.003679 0.012842 0.039392 0.116631 0.324522 0.831187 2.110080
2025-07-20 0.003354 0.012165 0.038533 0.117462 0.335403 0.878586 2.277986
2025-07-27 0.003053 0.011502 0.037603 0.117956 0.345453 0.924991 2.448115
2025-08-03 0.002820 0.011018 0.037124 0.119676 0.359023 0.981523 2.648704